Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 14.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Southampton Under-21s win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
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