League One

League One | Gameweek 10

Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
0 - 2
Burton Albion

Harper (68'), Key (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Oshilaja (63'), Keillor-Dunn (69')
Borthwick-Jackson (18'), Hughes (33'), Oshilaja (84'), Butcher (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Burton Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

Last Six:

Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Exeter
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Shrewsbury Town	8	0	12
9	Exeter City	8	4	11
10	Wycombe Wanderers	8	1	11

Burton Albion

Last Six:

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Portsmouth
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	MK Dons	8	-3	7
23	Morecambe	8	-11	4
24	Burton Albion	8	-14	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 65.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 14.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Burton Albion
65.69% ( 0.9)	20.05% ( -0.36)	14.27% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 49.41% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.22% (

0.44)

44.78% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.86% (

0.42)

67.14% (

-0.42)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.2% (

0.4)

12.8% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.89% (

0.81)

39.11% (

-0.81)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.66% (

-0.5)

43.34% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.42% (

-0.42)

79.58% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 65.68%

Burton Albion 14.27%

Draw 20.05%

Exeter City	Draw	Burton Albion
2-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.06% Total : 65.68%	1-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.87% Total : 20.05%	0-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.45% Total : 14.27%