Lincoln4 - 2Bolton
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One
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We said: Lincoln City 2-1 Bolton Wanderers
Although Lincoln have lost seven of the previous eight meetings with Bolton, the Imps' current form on home soil and Bolton's struggling results present Skubala's men with an opportunity after a five-year wait. We expect the hosts to finally end their wait for success in this matchup and disrupt the Trotters' playoff ambitions. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 47.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 26.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
47.5% ( -0) | 26.34% ( 0) | 26.15% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 48.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.91% | 55.09% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.65% | 76.35% ( 0) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.8% | 23.2% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.9% | 57.09% ( 0) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.62% | 36.37% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.84% ( 0) | 73.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 12.32% 2-1 @ 9.11% 2-0 @ 9.01% 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 4.39% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.77% Total : 47.49% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 8.44% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 8.53% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 4.32% 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.87% Total : 26.15% |
