Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 24.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.