League One

League One | 2nd Leg

May 22, 2021 at 3.30pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
2 - 1
Lincoln

(Lincoln City win 3-2 on aggregate)

Stewart (13'), Wyke (33')
Scowen (36'), Leadbitter (67')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hopper (56')
Johnson (52'), Edun (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Sunderland and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Lincoln City
47.5%	25.58%	26.92%

Both teams to score 51.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.34%

51.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.56%

73.44%

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.25%

21.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.07%

54.93%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.1%

33.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.43%

70.57%

Score Analysis

Sunderland 47.5%

Lincoln City 26.92%

Draw 25.58%

Sunderland	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 9.28% 2-0 @ 8.58% 3-1 @ 4.72% 3-0 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.32% Total : 47.5%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 4.32% 1-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.3% Total : 26.92%