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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
Result | ||
Lincoln City | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
46.05% | 25.3% | 28.65% |
Both teams to score 53.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.54% | 49.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.5% | 71.5% |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.51% | 21.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.47% | 54.52% |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.59% | 31.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.22% | 67.78% |
Score Analysis |
Lincoln City | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-0 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.44% Total : 46.04% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.75% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.81% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 4.53% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |