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League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Northampton
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Costelloe (61'), Guinness-Walker (78')
McGeehan (80'), Pinnock (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sinclair (46')
Taylor (60'), Wilson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Wrexham
Saturday, February 15 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-2 Bristol Rovers

With both teams having shown improvement of late, they will each fancy their chances of adding points to their respective totals. However, we are backing the visitors to come through, a result that could prove pivotal come the end of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 46.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawBristol Rovers
46.39% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 26.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 26.8% (-0.084 -0.08)
Both teams to score 47.99% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.54% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)56.47% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.54% (-0.055 -0.05)77.47% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)24.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29% (0.011000000000003 0.01)58.71% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.42% (-0.108 -0.11)36.58% (0.11000000000001 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.63% (-0.107 -0.11)73.37% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 46.39%
    Bristol Rovers 26.8%
    Draw 26.82%
Northampton TownDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 12.58% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.89% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 46.39%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 8.9% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 26.8%

Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Northampton
Bilongo (90+2')
Griffiths (24')

Hoskins (90+1'), Fox (90+3')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Northampton
3-1
Bristol Rovers
Brough (3'), Pinnock (40'), Leonard (84')
Brough (52'), Moulden (79')
Martin (79')
Wilson (24')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Northampton
Martin (10'), Evans (30' pen.)
Grant (12'), Evans (18'), Martin (41')
Monthe (57')
Pinnock (54')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Northampton
0-1
Bristol Rovers

McGowan (61'), Lewis (71'), Pinnock (90+2')
Anderson (1')
Finley (68'), Coutts (75'), Connolly (81'), Taylor (90+1')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Northampton
Grant (54'), Evans (59')
Whelan (12'), Harries (49'), Anderson (74')
Whelan (67')
Hoskins (39' pen.)
Hoskins (74'), Roberts (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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