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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Burton Albion

Bristol Rovers
3 - 1
Burton Albion

Martin (13'), Thomas (87'), Hutchinson (90+9')
Martin (35'), Thomas (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tavares (82')
Chauke (66'), Bennett (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stockport
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Blackpool
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Burton Albion

Rovers may have the advantage in league position, but the momentum is with Burton ahead of this clash. The fact that the Brewers have been so strong both in 2025 and on the road in general for the past few months is difficult to ignore, and the visitors will likely take another step towards survival with three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawBurton Albion
41.04% (0.139 0.14) 27.51% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08) 31.45% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 48.5% (0.22 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.98% (0.288 0.29)57.02% (-0.288 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.09% (0.23 0.23)77.91% (-0.229 -0.23)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.69% (0.212 0.21)27.31% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25% (0.273 0.27)62.75% (-0.273 -0.27)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.71% (0.10899999999999 0.11)33.28% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.1% (0.123 0.12)69.9% (-0.122 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 41.03%
    Burton Albion 31.45%
    Draw 27.5%
Bristol RoversDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.79% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.66% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.64% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 41.03%
1-1 @ 12.97% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.09% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 10% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 31.45%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Burton Albion

Bristol Rovers
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Burton Albion
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Burton Albion
1-3
Bristol Rovers
Orsi (15')
Kalinauskas (39'), Webster (45+1'), Cooper Love (89')
Vancooten (82')
Forde (52'), Sinclair (59'), Ward (90+3')
Conteh (45'), O'Donkor (86')
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Burton Albion
Evans (60')
Gilligan (43'), Helm (57')
Bola (49'), Gilligan (52'), Helm (64'), Bennett (80')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Burton Albion
4-1
Bristol Rovers
Lubala (26', 43'), Powell (81'), Baah (84')
Moon (18'), Crocombe (70'), Helm (88')
Evans (7')
Bogarde (90+2')
Woods (64')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Burton Albion
0-4
Bristol Rovers

Smith (14'), Butcher (64')
Shaughnessy (1')
Evans (4'), Connolly (12'), Collins (40', 44')
Whelan (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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