League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Bristol Rovers2 - 1Northampton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-2 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
We said: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Northampton Town
Bristol Rovers have fallen below their owners' expectations so far this term, but with interim boss Mangan at the helm, the Gas have a good chance of returning to winning ways this weekend. Northampton are continuing to rely on Hoskins to get them out of jail, and we believe that the Cobblers will suffer their third defeat in four games on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bristol Rovers.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
45.73% ( -0.42) | 24.73% ( -0.01) | 29.53% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 56.29% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
