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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Northampton Town

Bristol Rovers
2 - 1
Northampton

Martin (10'), Evans (30' pen.)
Grant (12'), Evans (18'), Martin (41')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Monthe (57')
Pinnock (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Northampton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-2 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Northampton Town

 Bristol Rovers have fallen below their owners' expectations so far this term, but with interim boss Mangan at the helm, the Gas have a good chance of returning to winning ways this weekend. Northampton are continuing to rely on Hoskins to get them out of jail, and we believe that the Cobblers will suffer their third defeat in four games on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bristol Rovers.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawNorthampton Town
45.73% (-0.417 -0.42) 24.73% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 29.53% (0.425 0.43)
Both teams to score 56.29% (0.296 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.47% (0.267 0.27)46.53% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.19% (0.251 0.25)68.8% (-0.25 -0.25)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)20.42% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.14% (-0.113 -0.11)52.86% (0.114 0.11)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (0.434 0.43)29.27% (-0.434 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (0.533 0.53)65.22% (-0.532 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 45.73%
    Northampton Town 29.53%
    Draw 24.73%
Bristol RoversDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 9.49% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 45.73%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.34% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.076 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 29.53%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Northampton

Bristol Rovers
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Northampton Town
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Northampton
0-1
Bristol Rovers

McGowan (61'), Lewis (71'), Pinnock (90+2')
Anderson (1')
Finley (68'), Coutts (75'), Connolly (81'), Taylor (90+1')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Northampton
Grant (54'), Evans (59')
Whelan (12'), Harries (49'), Anderson (74')
Whelan (67')
Hoskins (39' pen.)
Hoskins (74'), Roberts (90+5')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Northampton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Hoskins (78' pen.)
Morris (44'), Hoskins (83')
Leahy (19')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Bristol Rovers
2-0
Northampton
Hanlan (56' pen.), Baldwin (79')
Grant (23')

Racic (11'), Martin (35'), Watson (82'), Bolger (90+4')
Martin (60')
Jan 8, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 16
Northampton
1-2
Bristol Rovers
Crooks (76')
Crooks (45'), Foley (93')
Broadbent (45'), Payne (59')
Nichols (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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