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League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 2pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Lincoln City

Northampton
0 - 1
Lincoln


Eyoma (59'), Fosu (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Darikwa (38')
House (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Northampton
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Bolton
Tuesday, January 14 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Northampton Town 1-2 Lincoln City

With Northampton having finally got another win on the board, they have the momentum heading into this contest. However, given that they only defeated the bottom-placed side, we are backing the visitors to edge this fixture and secure a morale-boosting three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 47.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lincoln City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lincoln City.

Result
Northampton TownDrawLincoln City
26.45% (0.231 0.23) 26.53% (0.113 0.11) 47.02% (-0.344 -0.34)
Both teams to score 48.56% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.4% (-0.275 -0.27)55.6% (0.27399999999999 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24% (-0.225 -0.23)76.76% (0.223 0.22)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.6% (0.044999999999995 0.04)36.4% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.81% (0.047000000000001 0.05)73.19% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36% (-0.28 -0.28)23.64% (0.28 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.27% (-0.404 -0.4)57.73% (0.403 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 26.45%
    Lincoln City 47.02%
    Draw 26.53%
Northampton TownDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.102 0.1)
2-1 @ 6.34% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.39% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.14% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 26.45%
1-1 @ 12.54% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.61% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 12.41% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.04% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.95% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.35% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.3% (-0.061000000000001 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 47.02%

How you voted: Northampton vs Lincoln

Northampton Town
12.5%
Draw
12.5%
Lincoln City
75.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Lincoln
2-1
Northampton
Hamer (18'), Ring (88')
House (43'), Draper (89'), Wickens (90+4')
Fosu (2')
Baldwin (17'), Brady (18'), Roberts (35'), McGeehan (62'), Guthrie (90+3'), Guinness-Walker (90+4')
Roberts (75')
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Lincoln
1-2
Northampton
Eyoma (61')
Bishop (41')
O'Connor (76')
Guthrie (30'), Bowie (58')
Hondermarck (25'), Brady (26'), Bowie (45+2'), Simpson (90+4'), Hylton (90+9'), Odimayo (90')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Northampton
2-2
Lincoln
Appere (86'), Hoskins (90+8')
Hoskins (80')
Hackett (22'), O'Connor (78')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 25
Lincoln
2-1
Northampton
McGrandles (75'), Scully (84')
Bridcutt (77')
Rose (90+6')
Jones (36')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 19
Northampton
0-4
Lincoln

Bolger (56')
Scully (2'), Hopper (42'), Johnson (83', 90+8')
Montsma (36'), Hopper (73'), Scully (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham28206250193166
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport31159747301754
5Charlton AthleticCharlton30148840291150
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield29147841261549
7Leyton Orient291451043251847
8Bolton WanderersBolton30145114746147
9Reading30137104442246
10Barnsley30127114241143
11Blackpool3091384241140
12Lincoln CityLincoln301010103635140
13Stevenage29117112830-240
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham30108123435-138
15Mansfield TownMansfield29114143538-337
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Northampton TownNorthampton3089132945-1633
18Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
19Bristol Rovers2995152945-1632
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3086164657-1130
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3076173150-1927
22Crawley TownCrawley2976163353-2027
23Burton Albion30511143145-1426
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3058173055-2523


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