Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 16.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.33%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.