Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 45.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.94%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.