Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.