Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.