Plymouth

1 - 3

Sunderland

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 16.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-0 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.