Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.