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League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Rotherham
4 - 2
Charlton

Green (9'), MacDonald (14'), Jules (45+4'), Wilks (53')
Bramall (72'), Wilks (79')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Leaburn (45'), Godden (90+2')
Coventry (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 2-1 Charlton
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Rotherham United 1-1 Charlton Athletic

Charlton's dominance in this fixture gives them an edge, but Rotherham's strong league form and unbeaten streak make them tough to beat. Both sides have been consistent in recent weeks, and with neither wanting to lose ground in the standings, a draw seems the most likely outcome in a competitive encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
39.95% (0.092000000000006 0.09) 26.66% (0.398 0.4) 33.39% (-0.486 -0.49)
Both teams to score 51.64% (-1.387 -1.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.7% (-1.724 -1.72)53.29% (1.727 1.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.15% (-1.48 -1.48)74.85% (1.485 1.49)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83% (-0.739 -0.74)26.17% (0.743 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75% (-1.004 -1)61.25% (1.008 1.01)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.94% (-1.163 -1.16)30.06% (1.168 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.81% (-1.423 -1.42)66.19% (1.427 1.43)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 39.94%
    Charlton Athletic 33.39%
    Draw 26.65%
Rotherham UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.48 0.48)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.07% (0.181 0.18)
3-1 @ 3.8% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 39.94%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 7.87% (0.52 0.52)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.334 0.33)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.68% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.151 -0.15)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 33.39%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Charlton

Rotherham United
33.3%
Draw
29.2%
Charlton Athletic
37.5%
24
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 3.10pm
Gameweek 5
Charlton
1-1
Rotherham
Aneke (72')
Mitchell (43')
Kelly (58')
Evans (44')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Rotherham
0-1
Charlton
Dobson (55')
Famewo (43')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Charlton
1-1
Rotherham
Washington (83')
Stockley (5'), Famewo (40'), Purrington (84')
Miller (45+2')
Wiles (42'), Smith (44'), Ihiekwe (50'), Barlaser (89')
Apr 2, 2018 3pm
Charlton
3-1
Rotherham
Zyro (28'), Aribo (54', 65')
Forster-Caskey (45'), Zyro (49'), Amos (90')
Wood (77')
Aug 26, 2017 3pm
Rotherham
0-2
Charlton

Mattock (42'), Ihiekwe (47'), Vaulks (94')
Bauer (16'), Magennis (66')
Magennis (29'), Holmes (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham28206250193166
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport31159747301754
5Charlton AthleticCharlton30148840291150
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield29147841261549
7Leyton Orient291451043251847
8Bolton WanderersBolton30145114746147
9Reading30137104442246
10Barnsley30127114241143
11Blackpool3091384241140
12Lincoln CityLincoln301010103635140
13Stevenage29117112830-240
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham30108123435-138
15Mansfield TownMansfield29114143538-337
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Northampton TownNorthampton3089132945-1633
18Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
19Bristol Rovers2995152945-1632
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3086164657-1130
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3076173150-1927
22Crawley TownCrawley2976163353-2027
23Burton Albion30511143145-1426
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3058173055-2523


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