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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
27.53% ( -2.59) | 25.27% ( -0.58) | 47.21% ( 3.17) |
Both teams to score 53.18% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.03% ( 1.03) | 49.97% ( -1.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.04% ( 0.91) | 71.96% ( -0.91) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.48% ( -1.39) | 32.52% ( 1.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.95% ( -1.6) | 69.05% ( 1.59) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.82% ( 1.88) | 21.18% ( -1.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.94% ( 2.84) | 54.06% ( -2.84) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.64) 2-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.43) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.54) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.28) Other @ 2.58% Total : 27.53% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.57) 1-3 @ 4.82% ( 0.41) 0-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.52) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.25) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.28) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.5% Total : 47.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |