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League One
Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Plymouth Argyle

Shrewsbury
1 - 2
Plymouth

Phillips (53')
Shipley (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Edwards (68'), Wright (90+5')
Cosgrove (17'), Matete (80'), Ennis (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Plymouth
Saturday, April 15 at 12pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

 Plymouth have won three away games on the trot after two losses on the road, but they will not have it easy at a ground where Shrewsbury have claimed five wins from their last seven. A slender win for the leaders should see them claim 10 victories on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
29.24% (0.777 0.78) 25.27% (0.1 0.1) 45.48% (-0.877 -0.88)
Both teams to score 54.32% (0.184 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.97% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)49.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.89% (0.004999999999999 0)71.11% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25% (0.57299999999999 0.57)30.75% (-0.573 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (0.669 0.67)67.01% (-0.66799999999999 -0.67)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.44% (-0.387 -0.39)21.56% (0.388 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.36% (-0.599 -0.6)54.64% (0.599 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 29.24%
    Plymouth Argyle 45.48%
    Draw 25.27%
Shrewsbury TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 7.82% (0.121 0.12)
2-1 @ 7.07% (0.137 0.14)
2-0 @ 4.61% (0.142 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.78% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.049 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.81% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 29.24%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 10.17% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.8% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.71% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.99% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 45.48%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Plymouth

Shrewsbury Town
17.9%
Draw
10.7%
Plymouth Argyle
71.4%
28
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Plymouth
2-1
Shrewsbury
Ennis (70'), Whittaker (83')
Cosgrove (68')
Shipley (30')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
1-0
Shrewsbury
Grant (62')
Houghton (32'), Camara (54'), Bolton (80')

Vela (34')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Shrewsbury
0-3
Plymouth

Leahy (39'), Vela (77')
Hardie (24', 65'), Jephcott (50')
Broom (40')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Shrewsbury
3-0
Plymouth
Aimson (52' og.), Whalley (77'), Ogbeta (81')
Norburn (75'), Vela (85')

Camara (44')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
1-1
Shrewsbury
Grant (29')
Canavan (73')
Vela (14')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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