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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
29.24% ( 0.78) | 25.27% ( 0.1) | 45.48% ( -0.88) |
Both teams to score 54.32% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.97% ( 0.01) | 49.03% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.89% ( 0) | 71.11% ( -0) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.25% ( 0.57) | 30.75% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.99% ( 0.67) | 67.01% ( -0.67) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.44% ( -0.39) | 21.56% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.36% ( -0.6) | 54.64% ( 0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.01% Total : 29.24% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 45.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |