Shrewsbury1 - 2Plymouth
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 15 at 12pm in League One
We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-2 Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth have won three away games on the trot after two losses on the road, but they will not have it easy at a ground where Shrewsbury have claimed five wins from their last seven. A slender win for the leaders should see them claim 10 victories on their travels. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
29.24% ( 0.78) | 25.27% ( 0.1) | 45.48% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 54.32% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.97% ( 0.01) | 49.03% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.89% ( 0) | 71.11% ( -0) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.25% ( 0.57) | 30.75% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.99% ( 0.67) | 67.01% ( -0.67) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.44% ( -0.39) | 21.56% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.36% ( -0.6) | 54.64% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.01% Total : 29.24% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 45.48% |
