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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
43.55% ( 0.01) | 27.37% ( 0.01) | 29.07% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.84% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.64% ( -0.05) | 57.35% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.81% ( -0.04) | 78.18% ( 0.03) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.86% ( -0.02) | 26.13% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.8% ( -0.02) | 61.2% ( 0.01) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.76% ( -0.05) | 35.23% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.01% ( -0.05) | 71.98% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.12% Total : 43.54% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 29.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |