MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 01:40:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 38
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Oxford Utd
4 - 0
Cheltenham

Goodrham (38'), Joseph (52'), Browne (60', 65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Broom (45+3'), Ferry (75'), Rea (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-1 Forest Green
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 1-1 Cheltenham Town

 Oxford have netted just six goals in their last eight games at the Kassam Stadium, and Cheltenham have lost seven of their 10 road matches in 2023. Neither side can be backed for success on Tuesday night, making a stalemate likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
47.47% (0.424 0.42) 26.09% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 26.45% (-0.426 -0.43)
Both teams to score 49.85% (-0.347 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.07% (-0.288 -0.29)53.93% (0.291 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.62% (-0.242 -0.24)75.38% (0.245 0.25)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28% (0.070999999999998 0.07)22.72% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.61% (0.105 0.1)56.39% (-0.102 -0.1)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.5% (-0.506 -0.51)35.5% (0.509 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74% (-0.528 -0.53)72.26% (0.53099999999999 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 47.47%
    Cheltenham Town 26.45%
    Draw 26.08%
Oxford UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.95% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.86% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 47.47%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.06% (0.091 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.33% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 26.45%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Cheltenham

Oxford United
44.4%
Draw
22.2%
Cheltenham Town
33.3%
18
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
Cheltenham
1-2
Oxford Utd
Perry (63')
Chapman (43'), Taylor (84'), Ferry (90'), Lloyd (90+3'), Norton (90+4')
Chapman (90+3')
Brannagan (66', 86')
Joseph (61'), Bodin (70'), Taylor (90'), Brannagan (90+4')
Bodin (74')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
gameweek 26
Oxford Utd
1-1
Cheltenham
Sykes (82')
Sykes (32')
Wright (48')
Thomas (45'), Blair (58'), Freestone (71'), Evans (72'), Raglan (77')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
gameweek 8
Cheltenham
1-0
Oxford Utd
May (68')
Thomas (65'), Blair (88')

Long (90+4')
Jan 8, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 16
Cheltenham
1-1
Oxford Utd
 Oxford Utd win 4-1 on penalties
Dawson (64')
Varney (39'), Alcock (50'), Addai (90')
Brannagan (45')
Brannagan (36')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
3-4
Cheltenham
Johnson (21'), Obika (31'), Fernandez (42')
Nelson (73'), Ledson (80'), Ruffels (93')
Eisa (9', 99'), Wright (66', 90')
Storer (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!