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League One
Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 38
May 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Bristol Rovers

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Leahy (3'), Street (53')
Dunkley (23'), Shipley (36'), Winchester (61'), Phillips (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coburn (70')
Hoole (59'), Collins (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Sheff Weds
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Peterborough 0-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Bristol Rovers

 Both sides have had very difficult fixtures in recent weeks, so it is perhaps unfair to be overly critical about their poor form, but they will have a point to prove on Monday, even if the game ultimately does not count for much. Given that very little separates the two teams in the table, however, we think the most likely result is a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawBristol Rovers
43.06% (-1.495 -1.5) 25% (0.709 0.71) 31.94% (0.792 0.79)
Both teams to score 56.64% (-2.078 -2.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.37% (-2.88 -2.88)46.63% (2.886 2.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.1% (-2.759 -2.76)68.9% (2.764 2.76)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (-1.866 -1.87)21.66% (1.871 1.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (-2.938 -2.94)54.8% (2.944 2.94)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (-0.90599999999999 -0.91)27.71% (0.913 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73% (-1.18 -1.18)63.27% (1.186 1.19)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 43.06%
    Bristol Rovers 31.94%
    Draw 25%
Shrewsbury TownDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.59 0.59)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-0 @ 7.02% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.309 -0.31)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.247 -0.25)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.191 -0.19)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 43.06%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.47 0.47)
0-0 @ 6% (0.699 0.7)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.168 -0.17)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.719 0.72)
1-2 @ 7.56% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.94% (0.345 0.35)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.096 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.94%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers

Shrewsbury Town
57.9%
Draw
26.3%
Bristol Rovers
15.8%
38
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Shrewsbury
Loft (68')
Marquis (57')
Bowman (80')
Bowman (65')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
gameweek 32
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Shrewsbury
Leahy (45'), Hanlan (60')
Udoh (90+2')
Ebanks-Landell (70')
Oct 20, 2020 6pm
gameweek 7
Shrewsbury
0-1
Bristol Rovers

Walker (37')
Hanlan (15')
Grant (57'), Harries (66')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
gameweek 36
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Shrewsbury

Menayese (29'), Kilgour (84')
Udoh (69')
Pierre (43'), Williams (74'), Cummings (87'), Lang (90'), Edwards (90')
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
gameweek 19
Shrewsbury
3-4
Bristol Rovers
Laurent (37', 67'), Norburn (62')
Thompson (20'), Laurent (20'), Norburn (22')
Craig (11'), Clarke (28'), Sercombe (47'), Ogogo (87')
Jaakkola (20'), Adeboyejo (21'), Clarke (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120
> League One Full Table


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