We said: Stevenage 2-1 Mansfield Town
With Mansfield having at least stopped the rot of late, they theoretically have a greater chance of earning at least another important point. However, we are backing the home side to edge this fixture, potentially via a late goal as they throw caution to the wind.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.