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League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Stevenage

Mansfield
0 - 1
Stevenage


Cargill (24'), Reed (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Young (32')
Wildin (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Mansfield Town and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Blackpool
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Stevenage
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Mansfield Town 1-0 Stevenage

Stevenage are tough to break down, and it would not be a surprise to see a goalless draw on Saturday afternoon. Mansfield are on a roll at the moment, though, and we fancy them to navigate their way to a narrow victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawStevenage
43.26% (0.65000000000001 0.65) 25.28% (-0.301 -0.3) 31.45% (-0.347 -0.35)
Both teams to score 55.47% (0.856 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.94% (1.177 1.18)48.05% (-1.177 -1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.78% (1.07 1.07)70.22% (-1.07 -1.07)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83% (0.81700000000001 0.82)22.16% (-0.817 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.43% (1.215 1.22)55.56% (-1.215 -1.22)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (0.355 0.36)28.73% (-0.356 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (0.441 0.44)64.56% (-0.441 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 43.26%
    Stevenage 31.45%
    Draw 25.27%
Mansfield TownDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.234 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.153 0.15)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.122 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.097 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 43.26%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.316 -0.32)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 7.94% (-0.312 -0.31)
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.95% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.068 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 31.45%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Stevenage

Mansfield Town
80.8%
Draw
11.5%
Stevenage
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Mansfield
2-0
Stevenage
Lapslie (51'), Longstaff (90+3')
Perch (15'), Maris (21')

Taylor (43'), Andrade (87')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Stevenage
1-2
Mansfield
Cuthbert (55')
Vancooten (85'), Norris (90+1')
O'Toole (19'), Stirk (65')
Hawkins (12'), Stirk (90+4'), O'Toole (90+7')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Stevenage
0-1
Mansfield

Vancooten (21')
Sweeney (24')
Lapslie (14'), Maris (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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