We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Stevenage
With both teams out of form, this could prove to be somewhat of a war of attrition on Saturday. Taking that into consideration, a low-scoring draw feels like the most realistic outcome, a result that would suit neither team.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match.