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League One | Gameweek 19
Feb 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Stevenage

Crawley
3 - 1
Stevenage

Forster (50'), Quitirna (87'), Doyle (90+3')
Ibrahim (14')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hanlan (53')
Piergianni (47'), Phillips (54'), Sweeney (63'), Thompson (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 4-3 Crawley
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, February 8 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Stevenage

Crawley are in good form at the moment having recorded consecutive wins and will head into Saturday's game confident of achieving a positive result. On the other hand, Revell's side's defence may prove too stubborn to score more than one against, and given Elliot's side have conceded 28 goals this season, they may not be able to keep even Stevenage at bay. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawStevenage
28.36% (4.424 4.42) 25.76% (1.289 1.29) 45.88% (-5.711 -5.71)
Both teams to score 52.22% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.49% (-2.042 -2.04)51.51% (2.045 2.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.69% (-1.806 -1.81)73.31% (1.808 1.81)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.31% (2.538 2.54)32.69% (-2.535 -2.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.76% (2.743 2.74)69.24% (-2.74 -2.74)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.58% (-3.258 -3.26)22.42% (3.261 3.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.06% (-5.126 -5.13)55.94% (5.128 5.13)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 28.36%
    Stevenage 45.88%
    Draw 25.76%
Crawley TownDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 8.19% (1.153 1.15)
2-1 @ 6.85% (0.78 0.78)
2-0 @ 4.58% (0.908 0.91)
3-1 @ 2.55% (0.442 0.44)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.165 0.17)
3-0 @ 1.71% (0.43 0.43)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 28.36%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.62 0.62)
0-0 @ 7.33% (0.58 0.58)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.107 0.11)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 10.95% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.453 -0.45)
0-2 @ 8.19% (-1.021 -1.02)
1-3 @ 4.57% (-0.73 -0.73)
0-3 @ 4.08% (-0.992 -0.99)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.481 -0.48)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.57 -0.57)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.187 -0.19)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 45.88%

How you voted: Crawley vs Stevenage

Crawley Town
33.3%
Draw
23.8%
Stevenage
42.9%
21
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Stevenage
3-1
Crawley
Roberts (10'), Piergianni (40', 83')
Telford (89' pen.)
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Crawley
1-2
Stevenage
Nadesan (47')
Roberts (24'), Norris (85' pen.)
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Crawley
2-2
Stevenage
Nichols (34', 46')
Tilley (61')
Read (80'), Cuthbert (90+2')
Clements (37')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Stevenage
2-1
Crawley
Taylor (29'), Norris (73')
Nichols (45+1')
Tilley (68'), Frost (77')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Stevenage
3-3
Crawley
Norris (21' pen., 74'), Read (81')
Prosser (53')
Francomb (24'), Vancooten (80' og.), Powell (90+2')
McNerney (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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