League One

League One | Gameweek 34

Feb 19, 2022 at 3pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
1 - 2
MK Dons

Stewart (59')
Evans (24')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Eisa (48'), Wickham (76')
McEachran (24'), Harvie (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Sunderland and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Sunderland 1-1 MK Dons

It really is now or never for Sunderland, with defeat against MK Dons at home on Saturday a non-negotiable if they wish to earn promotion. MK Dons will pose a huge threat of their own given their promotion ambitions, and should be confident of leaving the North-East with points in hand. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 53.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	MK Dons
53.83%	23.86%	22.3%

Both teams to score 52.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.41%

48.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.29%

70.71%

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.03%

17.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.19%

48.8%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.75%

36.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.97%

73.02%

Score Analysis

Sunderland 53.83%

MK Dons 22.3%

Draw 23.86%

Sunderland	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 9.6% 3-1 @ 5.57% 3-0 @ 5.49% 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 2.36% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.47% Total : 53.83%	1-1 @ 11.34% 0-0 @ 6.51% 2-2 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.86%	0-1 @ 6.61% 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-2 @ 3.35% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.83% Total : 22.3%