League One

League One | Gameweek 23

Jan 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
0 - 1
MK Dons

Hughes (74'), Moult (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Twine (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Burton Albion 1-2 MK Dons

Neither side can really afford many more slip-ups if they are to achieve their respective ambitions for the campaign. However, the form book weighs in on MK Dons' favour, with Manning's men likely to pick up another win over Burton this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 37.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for MK Dons in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for MK Dons.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	MK Dons
37.04%	25.38%	37.59%

Both teams to score 56.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.61%

47.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.39%

69.61%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.96%

25.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.28%

59.72%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.26%

24.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.7%

59.3%

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 37.04%

MK Dons 37.59%

Draw 25.38%

Burton Albion	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 8.58% 2-1 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 5.94% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-0 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 0.95% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.78% Total : 37.04%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.2% 2-2 @ 5.79% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 8.65% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 3.9% 0-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 0.98% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.59%