League One

League One | Gameweek 31

Feb 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Stadium MK

MK Dons
2 - 1
Lincoln

Darling (39'), O'Hora (47')
Coventry (69'), Harvie (79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Marquis (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: MK Dons 2-0 Lincoln City

MK Dons are the side in the ascendancy heading into the clash and will be confident that their home support can take them to yet another victory. Expect the hosts to achieve a simple win against a Lincoln side in danger of being dragged further and further into a relegation scrap. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Lincoln City
45.57%	25.55%	28.88%

Both teams to score 53.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.64%

50.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.7%

72.3%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.92%

22.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.57%

55.43%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.3%

31.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.88%

68.12%

Score Analysis

MK Dons 45.57%

Lincoln City 28.88%

Draw 25.54%

MK Dons	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.57%	1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.54%	0-1 @ 8.04% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.88%