Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.