Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.