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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Rochdale |
51.29% | 24.46% | 24.25% |
Both teams to score 52.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.89% | 49.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.81% | 71.19% |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.86% | 19.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.21% | 50.79% |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.25% | 34.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.51% | 71.49% |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 9.09% 3-1 @ 5.3% 3-0 @ 5.01% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.07% Total : 51.28% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 6.65% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 7.03% 1-2 @ 6.14% 0-2 @ 3.72% 1-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.1% Total : 24.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |