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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 49.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.71%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Barrow win it was 1-0 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Mansfield Town |
24.06% ( 0.06) | 26.31% ( -0.01) | 49.64% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 47.11% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.57% ( 0.09) | 56.43% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.56% ( 0.07) | 77.44% ( -0.07) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.02% ( 0.1) | 38.98% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.3% ( 0.09) | 75.7% ( -0.1) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.2% ( 0.01) | 22.8% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.49% ( 0.02) | 56.51% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.48% Total : 24.06% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 49.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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