Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Mansfield Town |
20.38% ( 0.01) | 24.52% ( 0) | 55.1% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.74% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.67% ( -0.01) | 53.33% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.13% ( -0.01) | 74.87% ( 0.01) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.13% ( 0) | 40.87% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.56% ( 0) | 77.44% ( 0) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.73% ( -0) | 19.27% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49% ( -0.01) | 51% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.55% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.28% 3-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.22% Total : 20.38% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.52% | 0-1 @ 12.96% 0-2 @ 10.67% 1-2 @ 9.55% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.86% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.24% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.92% Total : 55.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |