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Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Mansfield Town

Crewe
1 - 2
Mansfield

Baker-Richardson (70')
Leshabela (33'), Sambou (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Swan (87'), Hawkins (90+3')
Clarke (38'), Quinn (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Mansfield
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-0 Mansfield Town

In what is shaping up to be an entertaining clash, Crewe will likely attack from the off as they look to put a dent in Mansfield's early playoff hopes. It has been a mixed start for Crewe, but as they begin to pick up form, it is hard to look beyond the hosts for three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawMansfield Town
20.38% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 24.52% (0.004999999999999 0) 55.1% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.67% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)53.33% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.13% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)74.87% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.87% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.56% (0.0010000000000012 0)77.44% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)19.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49% (-0.012 -0.01)51% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 20.38%
    Mansfield Town 55.08%
    Draw 24.52%
Crewe AlexandraDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 7.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 5.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.28%
3-0 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 20.38%
1-1 @ 11.6%
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 12.96%
0-2 @ 10.67%
1-2 @ 9.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 5.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.16% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 55.08%

How you voted: Crewe vs Mansfield

Crewe Alexandra
47.1%
Draw
23.5%
Mansfield Town
29.4%
17
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Crewe
1-1
Mansfield
Anene (8')
Cook (27')
MacDonald (83'), Preston (84')
Oct 8, 2019 7.45pm
Mansfield
1-1
Crewe
Crewe win 4-3 on penalties
Knowles (18')
Cook (27')
Finney (45')
Johnson (30'), Finney (87')
Mar 23, 2019 3pm
Mansfield
1-2
Crewe
Pearce (92')
Mellis (40'), Bishop (50'), Preston (57'), Pearce (59')
Ainley (71', 84')
Ng (35'), Green (50'), Nolan (58'), Taylor-Sinclair (67'), Garratt (93')
Oct 30, 2018 7.45pm
Crewe
0-3
Mansfield

Ray (51'), Ng (55')
Elsnik (8', 35'), Walker (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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