We said: Bradford City 1-1 Port Vale
Bradford's recent form has been inconsistent, while they also have a poor record against Port Vale – however, Vale have drawn frequently in recent times, highlighting both their defensive solidity and struggles in attack, which is why we feel that a draw is the likely result that will play out here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.