Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 46.17%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 25.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.