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Leyton Orient
League Two | Gameweek 45
May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK
Matchroom Stadium
Carlisle United

Leyton Orient
2 - 3
Carlisle

Wilkinson (3'), Kemp (45+3')
Happe (18'), Dennis (62'), Clay (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mellish (42'), Alessandra (54' pen.), Tanner (90+1')
Walker (80'), Mellish (89')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Leyton Orient and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawCarlisle United
32.21%27.21%40.58%
Both teams to score 49.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.27%55.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.13%76.87%
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.91%32.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.44%68.56%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04%26.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.7%62.29%
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 32.21%
    Carlisle United 40.57%
    Draw 27.2%
Leyton OrientDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.83%
2-1 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 5.59%
3-1 @ 2.78%
3-0 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.21%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.65%
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 11.33%
1-2 @ 8.45%
0-2 @ 7.43%
1-3 @ 3.69%
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.21%
0-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 40.57%

Head to Head
Mar 23, 2021 6.30pm
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 16
Leyton Orient
1-1
Carlisle
Wright (7' pen.)
Iredale (48')
Sagaf (24'), Thomas (70'), Webster (80')
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Leyton Orient
1-2
Carlisle
Massey (25')
Hunt (45')
Liddle (34'), Proctor (68')
Proctor (74'), Jones (76')
Proctor (76')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Carlisle
2-2
Leyton Orient
Wyke (46'), Grainger (87' pen.)
Raynes (73'), Ibehre (87')
McCallum (44'), Cornick (64')
Kelly (51'), Kennedy (56'), Palmer (96')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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