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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Salford City

Colchester
2 - 1
Salford City

Taylor (42'), Cooper (89')
Read (17'), Hall (29'), Taylor (31'), Mitchell (74'), Akinde (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McAleny (90+1')
Ingram (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 1-2 Salford City

Colchester took four points off Salford in their two meetings last season, but the Essex side are in such poor form, and Salford really need a result. We are expecting this to be a tight game but believe that Salford have enough quality to pick up what would be a very important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Colchester United in this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawSalford City
38.83% (0.32700000000001 0.33) 24.38% (-0.125 -0.13) 36.79% (-0.201 -0.2)
Both teams to score 60.01% (0.45500000000001 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.25% (0.591 0.59)42.75% (-0.591 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.85% (0.586 0.59)65.15% (-0.586 -0.59)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99% (0.426 0.43)22.01% (-0.425 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67% (0.642 0.64)55.33% (-0.642 -0.64)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (0.164 0.16)23.06% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.12% (0.238 0.24)56.88% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 38.83%
    Salford City 36.79%
    Draw 24.38%
Colchester UnitedDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.68% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.81% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 38.83%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.055 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.38%
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.45% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.46% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.04% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-3 @ 3.06% (0.041 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.79%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Salford City
0-3
Colchester

Turnbull (50'), Watson (54')
Chambers (30'), Kenlock (33'), Andrews (82')
Huws (61')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Colchester
0-2
Salford City

Jasper (90+2')
Thomas-Asante (10'), Elliott (25')
Turnbull (38'), Lund (50'), Thomas-Asante (59')
Thomas-Asante (88')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Colchester
1-0
Salford City
Bohui (69')
Sarpong-Wiredu (72')

Bernard (15'), Turnbull (79'), Eastham (82'), Threlkeld (86')
Bernard (32'), Hunter (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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