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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Salford City

Gillingham
3 - 1
Salford City

Mahoney (22'), Nichols (54'), Jefferies (62')
Clark (26'), Nichols (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Smith (37')
Mallan (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 1-2 Salford City

With Gillingham having lost their way in the league in recent weeks, Salford will sense an opportunity to catapult themselves back into contention. While we expect a fiercely-fought contest, the visitors could edge this contest, taking advantage of their hosts' lack of confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawSalford City
38.97% (-1.003 -1) 24.67% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 36.36% (0.933 0.93)
Both teams to score 58.91% (-0.127 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.85% (-0.219 -0.22)44.15% (0.216 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.47% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)66.53% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (-0.592 -0.59)22.56% (0.591 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.85% (-0.887 -0.89)56.15% (0.887 0.89)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (0.413 0.41)23.92% (-0.414 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (0.586 0.59)58.14% (-0.588 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 38.97%
    Salford City 36.36%
    Draw 24.67%
GillinghamDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-0 @ 8.04% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.98% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.97%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.67%
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.129 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.165 0.17)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.182 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.92% (0.108 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.63% (0.117 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.055 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 36.36%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Salford City

Gillingham
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Salford City
16.7%
6
Head to Head
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Gillingham
0-3
Salford City
Vassell (54'), Watson (61'), Hendry (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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