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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 17.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stockport County in this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Colchester United |
61.56% ( 0.56) | 20.9% ( -0.08) | 17.54% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 54.14% ( -0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.7% ( -0.46) | 42.3% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.29% ( -0.46) | 64.71% ( 0.47) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.77% ( 0.02) | 13.23% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60% ( 0.04) | 40% ( -0.04) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.4% ( -0.82) | 37.6% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.62% ( -0.82) | 74.38% ( 0.82) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Colchester United |
2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.71% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 61.55% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.9% | 0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |