We said: Colchester United 2-1 Walsall
Walsall may be top of the league, but they have been in mixed form lately and are still working to get back on track.
On the other hand, Colchester have been in strong form, and could prove too much for a visiting side that are adjusting to losing their top scorer.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Colchester United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Colchester United.