Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
