Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.