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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Barrow |
49.55% ( 0.3) | 23.49% ( -0.09) | 26.96% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 58.6% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.38% ( 0.25) | 42.62% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.97% ( 0.25) | 65.03% ( -0.24) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.66% ( 0.21) | 17.34% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.28% ( 0.36) | 47.72% ( -0.36) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.9% ( -0.02) | 29.11% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.97% ( -0.03) | 65.03% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Barrow |
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.9% Total : 49.55% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.37% Total : 26.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
2 | Port Vale | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 31 |
5 | Grimsby Town | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 31 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
7 | MK Dons | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Chesterfield | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 28 |
9 | Notts County | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 28 |
10 | Gillingham | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
11 | Bradford CityBradford | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 25 |
12 | Salford City | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 24 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Bromley | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 23 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
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