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Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 21
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Gillingham

Barrow
2 - 0
Gillingham

Chester (40'), Acauah (55')
Stockton (4'), Spence (9'), Campbell (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Coleman (39'), Williams (66'), Masterson (90+6'), Hutton (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Barrow and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 5-3 Barrow
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 1-1 Gillingham

Barrow may enter Tuesday's game as something of an unknown quantity given their lengthy break from League Two football, although Wild and co would have been afforded ample time to dissect their team's recent defensive woes. In contrast, Gillingham need no lessons in shutting up shop, but Barrow's fresh legs can wear down a jaded Gills backline and nick a point for their fans upon their return to football. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
BarrowDrawGillingham
41.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 27.42% (0.0010000000000012 0) 30.96% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.14% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)56.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)77.78% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75%62.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)33.55% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)70.19% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 41.61%
    Gillingham 30.96%
    Draw 27.42%
BarrowDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 11.85%
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 7.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 3.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 41.61%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 9.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 9.86%
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 30.96%

How you voted: Barrow vs Gillingham

Barrow
62.5%
Draw
18.8%
Gillingham
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Barrow
2-1
Gillingham
Morris (9' og.), Gotts (90+4')
Masterson (82')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Gillingham
1-1
Barrow
Baggott (74')
Kay (35')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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