Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gillingham in this match.