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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Chesterfield |
34.17% ( 0.04) | 25.88% ( -0) | 39.95% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.36% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.12% ( 0.02) | 49.88% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.12% ( 0.01) | 71.87% ( -0.02) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.11% ( 0.03) | 27.89% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.49% ( 0.04) | 63.51% ( -0.04) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.39% ( -0.01) | 24.61% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.89% ( -0.02) | 59.11% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 34.17% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.86% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.81% Total : 39.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |