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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Chesterfield |
34.17% ( 0.04) | 25.88% ( -0) | 39.95% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.36% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.12% ( 0.02) | 49.88% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.12% ( 0.01) | 71.87% ( -0.02) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.11% ( 0.03) | 27.89% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.49% ( 0.04) | 63.51% ( -0.04) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.39% ( -0.01) | 24.61% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.89% ( -0.02) | 59.11% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 34.17% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.86% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.81% Total : 39.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
3 | Notts County | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 27 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 25 |
6 | MK Dons | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 24 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 24 |
8 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Chesterfield | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 22 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 22 |
11 | BarrowBarrow | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 22 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
13 | Salford City | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
14 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 19 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 16 |
19 | Bromley | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 13 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Morecambe | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 10 |
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