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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Barrow |
16.2% ( 0.05) | 20.84% ( 0.01) | 62.96% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 51.46% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.56% ( 0.05) | 44.44% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.19% ( 0.05) | 66.81% ( -0.05) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.49% ( 0.1) | 40.51% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.88% ( 0.09) | 77.11% ( -0.08) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.51% ( -0) | 13.49% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.49% ( -0.01) | 40.51% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Barrow |
1-0 @ 4.94% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 16.2% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.84% | 0-2 @ 10.96% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.32% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.62% 0-4 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.47% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.94% Total : 62.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 59 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 52 |
3 | Notts County | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 50 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 48 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 48 |
6 | Port Vale | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 48 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 47 |
8 | Salford City | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 44 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 42 |
10 | Chesterfield | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 37 |
14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 37 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 36 |
16 | Bromley | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 35 |
17 | Gillingham | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 26 |
23 | Morecambe | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 21 |
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