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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Chesterfield has a probability of 35.47% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Chesterfield win is 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.31%).
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
38.6% ( 0.36) | 25.93% ( 0.02) | 35.47% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 54.4% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.07% ( -0.1) | 49.93% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.08% ( -0.09) | 71.92% ( 0.09) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.64% ( 0.15) | 25.36% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.85% ( 0.2) | 60.15% ( -0.2) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.87% ( -0.27) | 27.12% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.48% ( -0.35) | 62.51% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.6% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 52 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 42 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 24 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
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