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Barrow
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Chesterfield
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Harrogate Town

Grimsby Town
2 - 1
Harrogate

Khouri (55'), Svanthorsson (74')
McEachran (90+2'), Svanthorsson (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Duke-McKenna (82')
Bray (90+1'), Sutton (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 3-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Walsall
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 2-1 Harrogate Town

Both teams have racked up similar numbers on the defensive end of things, but Grimsby have been the vastly superior side going forward, and we are backing them to come away with maximum points at the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Grimsby Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Grimsby Town.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawHarrogate Town
43.89% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06) 26.81% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06) 29.31% (0.122 0.12)
Both teams to score 49.62% (0.252 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.85% (0.294 0.29)55.14% (-0.291 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.61% (0.242 0.24)76.39% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.04% (0.102 0.1)24.96% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.4% (0.14100000000001 0.14)59.6% (-0.139 -0.14)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.12% (0.248 0.25)33.88% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.45% (0.268 0.27)70.55% (-0.265 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 43.88%
    Harrogate Town 29.31%
    Draw 26.8%
Grimsby TownDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 11.73% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.08% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.88%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.46% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.88% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 29.31%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Harrogate

Grimsby Town
55.6%
Draw
22.2%
Harrogate Town
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Harrogate
1-0
Grimsby Town
Thomson (49')
Abu (83')

Hume (79'), Artell (80')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Grimsby Town
1-2
Harrogate
Green (90+1')
Artell (0'), Glennon (90+3')
Foulds (41'), Odoh (72')
March (90+4')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Harrogate
3-2
Grimsby Town
Armstrong (12', 76'), Crocombe (90+1' og.)
Khan (29'), Clifton (49')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 32
Harrogate
1-0
Grimsby Town
Beck (77')

Matete (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Notts County27138643271647
3Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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